2016

2016

Thursday, November 17, 2016

What Happened? What did the "Polls" miss?

"The regional breakdown is enjoying an unusual place in the spotlight this election, as commentators focus on the unexpectedly high turnout among rural voters.
That Trump had such an advantage in rural areas (62 percent over Clinton's 34 percent) is not so surprising. What is surprising is how wrong so many polls proved to be.
Part of this surprise came from flawed polling models derived from the 2012 electoral makeup. Rural turnout in 2012 was exceptionally low, and this year's soaring rural turnout likely contributed to the overall havoc wreaked on this year's polling models." CH

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