2016

2016

Monday, October 31, 2016

Early Voting Trouble Signs for Hillary

"First, early voting by millennials is down sharply in several swing states including North Carolina, Nevada and Ohio. 
As we've pointed out before, this is obviously a troubling sign for Hillary since millennials voters
skewed to Obama by 34 points in 2008 and 24 points in 2012.  We guess there will be fewer Hillary posters on the basement walls of young millennials living at home with mom after the "Hope and Change" they were promised in 2008 and 2012 didn't pan out so well.

Perhaps even more troubling for the Clinton campaign are early voting statistics of black voters which show substantial declines in Georgia, North Carolina, Virginia and Ohio.  These stats are disastrous for Hillary as black voters have historically skewed towards democratic candidates by 80 points or more. 
 President Obama enjoyed a huge surge in black voter participation in 2008 and 2012.  After averaging around 50-55% for several decades, black voter participation surged to over 60% during Obama's races.  A failure of the Clinton campaign to turnout black voters by the same margins could be disastrous for Clinton in states like Florida, North Carolina and Ohio." ZH

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