2016

2016

Saturday, September 10, 2016

State Polls with Johnson & Stein

"Perhaps not surprisingly, Johnson did best in the state where he served as governor, New Mexico. Even there, he took 25 percent, behind both Trump (29 percent) and Clinton (37 percent).


He took 23 percent in Utah, a deep red state where Trump (34 percent) is unpopular, but even there Clinton (27 percent) beat him.

Johnson took 19 percent in Idaho, where Trump (44 percent) leads Clinton (25 percent) by a wide margin.

He took 16 percent in Colorado and Iowa.

Johnson's worst showing came in Mississippi, where he took 4 percent, less than "no opinion" (5 percent), and nowhere near Trump (46 percent) or Clinton (43 percent).

He stood at 7 percent in Kentucky (a deep red state with Trump at 52 percent and Clinton at 29 percent) and in Hawaii (a deep blue state where Clinton took 51 percent and Trump took 25 percent).

Most surprisingly, the poll found Texas to be a dead heat, with Clinton at 46 percent and Trump at 45 percent. In 2012, Romney won the state by 16 points.

But Trump has also brought some unexpected Midwest states into play, such as Wisconsin and Michigan, where Clinton led by only two points, while Trump beat her by four points in Iowa and three points in Ohio. Michigan proved most surprising, as the state has been very reliable for Democrats,....

In the Rocky Mountain West, Colorado was a dead heat, with Clinton only two points ahead. In Arizona, Trump and Clinton stood roughly even, and in Nevada Clinton's 5-point lead shrinks to three points in a four-way race.

With Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein included in the poll, Clinton's lead decreased and more states came into play. Stein moved the needle much less than Johnson. Her peak of 10 percent came in Vermont, and she took 8 percent in Maine, and 7 percent in eight states, (Alaska, California, Hawaii, Idaho, Oregon, Oklahoma, Rhode Island, and Washington). She took only 2 percent in North Dakota, Mississippi, and Alabama.

The poll was conducted online between August 9 and September 1, with about 75,000 registered voters. The results showed strong and widespread support for Johnson." PJMedia

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