"None of the three candidates who joined the Republican presidential contest last week — Mike Huckabee, Carly Fiorina and Ben Carson — will win the nomination.
That’s
the view of politically smart strategists who nevertheless say that all
three, especially Mr. Huckabee, could play important roles in shaping
the race.
First, here’s why these latest entries are unlikely to prevail.
The Republican
coalition has three pillars, all relatively conservative:
economic,
national security and
social issues.
A candidate has to be acceptable to
at least two of the three. At this stage, former Gov. Jeb Bush of Florida, Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin, Senator Marco Rubio of Florida, Senator Ted Cruz of Texas and perhaps Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky make the grade.
Mr.
Huckabee — the populist Baptist preacher, former Arkansas governor and
talk-show host — doesn’t. He is adored by the social right, hated by
economic conservatives and isn’t respected by many national security
hawks." NYT
No comments:
Post a Comment