"Western Pennsylvania has been the driving force in the state becoming more Republican said Henry Olsen, a Senior Fellow at the Ethics and Public Policy Center. Olsen said voting patterns of former union Democrats displaced by trade deals and environmental regulations that impacted the coal industry contributed to the rightward push.
“If you look at the coal county of Greene, the person who is not looking closely says, ‘Oh well, Romney carried it by huge margins, so how can that make a difference for Trump?' Well he did, except potential turnout was down by 10 percentage points,” Olson said.
“If Trump gets that 10 percent back, that is only 1,500 to 2,000 votes in a small county like Greene, but then you get an extra 10 percent in Washington, Cambria, Indiana, Somerset counties, which have larger populations,” he said of neighboring counties with similar voting patterns.
“Then, all of a sudden, you are talking about an extra 200,000 votes; you have to look at turnout and margin as much as who carries it,” he said.
That math does not apply to Western Pennsylvania exclusively.
“The same goes for the Philly collar county of Bucks,” Wasserman said, as well as the northeastern coal counties of Luzerne and Lackawanna, “where Trump won't necessarily win, but could chip away at Clinton's margins.”
Trump's performance in the Republican primary was remarkably strong. He swept all 67 counties. That popularity did not appear to abate even after nearly a month of public relations stumbles ....A Quinnipiac University poll showed Trump remained tied with Democrat Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania at the end of June." RCP
“If Trump gets that 10 percent back, that is only 1,500 to 2,000 votes in a small county like Greene, but then you get an extra 10 percent in Washington, Cambria, Indiana, Somerset counties, which have larger populations,” he said of neighboring counties with similar voting patterns.
“Then, all of a sudden, you are talking about an extra 200,000 votes; you have to look at turnout and margin as much as who carries it,” he said.
That math does not apply to Western Pennsylvania exclusively.
“The same goes for the Philly collar county of Bucks,” Wasserman said, as well as the northeastern coal counties of Luzerne and Lackawanna, “where Trump won't necessarily win, but could chip away at Clinton's margins.”
Trump's performance in the Republican primary was remarkably strong. He swept all 67 counties. That popularity did not appear to abate even after nearly a month of public relations stumbles ....A Quinnipiac University poll showed Trump remained tied with Democrat Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania at the end of June." RCP
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